Of Two Minds

Not only will there not be a recovery, but there can’t be a recovery, as those brittle extremes have been lost for good.How did the global economy end up teetering on a precarious financial precipice? To formulate a cogent answer, let’s take a whi…

The elites dancing through the minefield all have plans, but how many are prepared for the punch in the mouth?Open any newspaper from the past 100 years and you will soon find a newsworthy geopolitical hotspot or conflict. Geopolitical conflict is…

Just as the rewards of central-bank bubbles have not been evenly distributed, the pain created by the collapse of the bubbles won’t be evenly distributed, either.We’ve reached an interesting juncture in history, and I don’t mean the pandemic. I’m …

The pendulum swung to an extreme of globalization, financialization, centralization and monopoly, all of which created extreme systemic fragility.Here’s what to expect in the rapidly evolving New Normal: extremes become even more extreme as the st…

The only realistic Plan B is a fundamental, permanent re-ordering of the cost structure of the entire U.S. economy.The fantasy of a V-shaped recovery has evaporated, and expectations for a W or L-shaped recovery are increasingly untenable. So forg…

Once you allow your economy to become dependent on extremes of debt, leverage, inequality, legalized looting, monopoly, pay-to-play politics and speculative asset bubbles, a depression is inevitable.The pandemic lockdown will be blamed for the Gre…