Now that the US economy is totally dependent on trillions of dollars in stimulus and speculative gains reaped from the stimulus, there is no Real Economy left to pick up the pieces when the credit-stimulus-speculation bubbles all pop.

The net result of these dynamics is official unemployment can soar but employers will still be scrambling to find qualified, willing employees. The labor market is viewed as a sea of fluid workers.

Your bogus economic dogma of “growth via the wealth effect” created the demographic karma that will bring down the status quo. What happens when you bleed your workforce while enriching those who already own assets with one bubble after another, all in the name of “fostering growth”?

Blowback has its own dynamics, as we’ll learn in the decade ahead.
One of the most durable expectations in the financial sphere is that inflation will drop sharply in a recession and the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates back to near-zero.

In a real recession, what seemed safe and rock-solid melts into air.
We haven’t had a real recession in forty years (1981-82) and so only those who were in the workforce back then have any experience of how far and how fast things we think are solid can unravel.

So what’s changed? Everything, but mostly beneath the surface churn of circus and theater.
2023 is echoing 1973 in potentially consequential ways.