The well-paid apologists are already poring over statistics to "explain this away" and we can imagine the "explanations" that will be offered: young people simply don't want to get married and own a home. Um, OK, and so they also prefer financial precarity and nihilism, too, right?
I think there's far more truth in film director Celine Song's quote than in anything the apologists and PR hacks come up with. The quote is from
'Everybody's starved of affection' (The Guardian, paywalled):
"I think it has so much to do with how deeply broken our economic systems are, especially in the US. As we have learned, the American dream is not achievable. You cannot jump your class. But what's one of the few ways that you can still jump your class? Well, marriage."
In other words, stripped of plastic platitudes, the only way out is to marry way above mere middle class. The above chart reveals the low success rate of this "Cinderella" strategy. There simply aren't enough top 10% people who haven't already married another top 10% person left to meet the "Cinderella" demand.
OK, so now we're finally down to the painful, costly options, where the urge to attack the messenger becomes overwhelming. Look, I'm not saying I'm a fan of these options, I'm saying my job is to offer a realistic appraisal, and everyone can take that any way they want.
There are only two realistic ways to close the generational wealth inequality gap:
1. The Everything Bubble pops and wipes out 2/3 of the phantom wealth, the vast majority of which is held by the top 10% and the older generations (Boomers and the older cohort of Gen X). The gap is closed not by the younger generations getting wealthier but by the older generations getting poorer.
History suggests this is a very common way of closing the gap: all bubbles pop, and those who never owned the assets that bubbled up have nothing to lose. The wealthy lose most of their wealth, and that narrows the gap.
2. The younger Gen-Xers, Millennials and Gen Z start voting in high enough percentages to wrest political power from the older generations, and the younger political leaders who replace the old leaders come up with a much different policy-tax mix that addresses generational wealth inequality directly.
One way or another, some significant percentage of the wealth of the nation will have to start supporting children and young families if this nation is going to have a future worth saving.
How this plays out is anyone's guess. One thing I've learned the hard way as a business owner and self-employed precariat is: "liking" or "not liking" has nothing to do with it. We either get the painful, costly work done now or the problems quickly get beyond being fixable at any cost.
I laid out my own views two decades ago:
Boomers, Prepare to Fall on Your Swords (June 2005)
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